USDA outlook highlights expanding broiler and egg production in 2026, while weaker export demand and softer pricing signals create a mixed market outlook for the global poultry sector.
Global poultry markets are entering a period of structural imbalance, as rising production levels across major economies continue to outpace export demand and place downward pressure on prices, according to the latest USDA Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook.
The report indicates that broiler production is projected to increase to approximately 48.9 billion pounds, supported by higher slaughter rates and improved bird weights. Early indicators, including hatch rates and chick placements, suggest continued expansion in output through the year.
However, this production growth is not being matched by external demand conditions.
Exports losing momentum
Poultry exports have shown signs of weakening, with shipments declining in several early-year trading cycles. Reduced demand from key importing markets such as Mexico, Cuba, and Taiwan has only been partially offset by modest gains in select Asian destinations, including Vietnam and the Philippines.
As a result, overall export volumes are projected to remain slightly below previous-year levels, reflecting shifting trade dynamics and competitive global protein markets.
Price pressure builds across broiler markets
Despite stable consumer demand in many regions, increased supply is placing consistent pressure on prices. Broiler prices are expected to trend lower in 2026, driven primarily by higher production volumes and softer export absorption.
Analysts note that this imbalance between supply growth and export performance is becoming a defining feature of the current poultry cycle.
Egg sector sees strong recovery, but lower prices
The egg industry is also experiencing a notable rebound in production as flocks recover from earlier disruptions. This recovery has led to a surge in supply, which in turn has pushed egg prices significantly lower compared to the previous year.
Turkey production also expanding
Turkey production and exports are showing improvement, supported by recovery trends following earlier disease-related disruptions, further contributing to overall protein supply growth.
